Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.985548 1.105376 1.235713 1.388279 1.562307 1.755022 1.985128
2026-02-08 0.777989 0.932186 1.112766 1.340889 1.622830 1.961714 2.402663
2026-02-15 0.646706 0.816531 1.027494 1.310992 1.685284 2.167095 2.841616
2026-02-22 0.578531 0.763710 1.005651 1.348678 1.828598 2.485254 3.467437
2026-03-01 0.517645 0.709487 0.971096 1.359459 1.930830 2.755634 4.064169
2026-03-08 0.457086 0.646674 0.914775 1.328762 1.964913 2.927249 4.535659
2026-03-15 0.407792 0.593325 0.864279 1.297672 1.990289 3.083665 5.000892
2026-03-22 0.388247 0.580922 0.871549 1.353261 2.154512 3.476054 5.911873
2026-03-29 0.367162 0.563459 0.868367 1.390487 2.291576 3.839635 6.829936
2026-04-05 0.346792 0.544730 0.860623 1.418177 2.414208 4.192480 7.784442
2026-04-12 0.323417 0.518703 0.838029 1.417268 2.485034 4.459776 8.616936
2026-04-19 0.299132 0.488844 0.805947 1.395640 2.514350 4.651609 9.327122
2026-04-26 0.269654 0.448708 0.754413 1.336800 2.473069 4.714287 9.807506
2026-05-03 0.246151 0.417014 0.714963 1.296457 2.463468 4.840995 10.458354
2026-05-10 0.227161 0.391645 0.684465 1.269706 2.477532 5.018827 11.262598
2026-05-17 0.218826 0.384678 0.686804 1.306925 2.627621 5.509773 12.914841
2026-05-24 0.207800 0.371733 0.676621 1.317690 2.722735 5.893606 14.385442
2026-05-31 0.192997 0.350426 0.648450 1.288191 2.725462 6.064961 15.339117
2026-06-07 0.179543 0.330619 0.621461 1.258220 2.723093 6.223579 16.293495
2026-06-14 0.176173 0.330131 0.632783 1.311935 2.921577 6.907012 18.899397
2026-06-21 0.171124 0.325860 0.635958 1.347896 3.082738 7.523676 21.468334
2026-06-28 0.165500 0.319949 0.635148 1.374639 3.224941 8.115313 24.117979
2026-07-05 0.157800 0.309156 0.623045 1.373764 3.297051 8.528391 26.298551